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November 26, 2011

Clemson vs. USC game prediction

Thanksgiving is over and family members no longer have to be civil. It’s officially time for a trip to Williams-Brice, a stadium Clemson has owned for over 108 years.

And, it’s time for the Tigers and 10,000 orange clad faithful to make the 100 mile trek down I-385 and Interstate 26 to collect the rent and two years of past-due fees.

Let’s take a look at the Clemson vs South Carolina matchup.

SOUTH CAROLINA PASSING ATTACK VS CLEMSON SECONDARY AND PASS RUSH
Let’s face it, USC isn’t really known for their electric passing game or great wide receivers. Quarterback Connor Shaw has completed 98-of-151 passes for 1,008 yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions. Shaw has found one-time superstar Alshon Jeffery 43 times for 585 yards. After a magnificent season a year ago, Jeffrey was dubbed as a first round draft pick, but he has played lazy, uninspired, and lackadaisical so far this season. Clemson’s speedster cornerback Coty Sensabaugh will probably be tasked with keeping Jeffrey off the statistical charts.

USC’s weakness this year has been on the offensive line after losing key players to injury earlier in the season. If Andre Branch, Malliciah Goodman, Rennie Moore, and Brandon Thompson can get a little push on the line, they should be able to get pressure on Shaw forcing him to move his feet and get out of the pocket. USC is 99th in the country in passing offense averaging 174.45 yards per game. Clemson ranks 26th nationally against the pass and the only other time Shaw has faced a top 30 ranked passing defense, he finished 16-for-25 for 128 yards, no touchdowns and one interception- in the Gamecocks loss to Arkansas. Shaw was also sacked six times by the Razorbacks defense. ADVANTAGE- CLEMSON

SOUTH CAROLINA GROUND GAME VS CLEMSON DEFENSIVE FRONT SEVEN
The heart and soul of the Gamecock offense is the ground attack. Steve Spurrier, although known for a fun-and-gun style offense has played to the strengths of his offense. Shaw will run a zone read most of the day giving him the option to hand it off to running back Brandon Wilds or keep it and run up field based on the actions of the defensive end.

As Clemson fans and the entire country know, Clemson has been less than stellar against running teams the last three weeks. The Tigers allowed Maryland’s C.J. Brown to rush for 162 yards. Tevin Washington of Georgia Tech carried the ball 176 yards on 27 carries. Now, don’t get me wrong, Shaw is no Brown or Washington, but he is just athletic enough to be a weapon running the ball. The Clemson defense will need to play their assignments and play physical. If Clemson’s linebackers and defensive line can stay in their gaps and hammer Shaw on every possession it could be a long game for the Gamecock offense. Until the Clemson defense can show some consistency against the run… ADVANTAGE- SOUTH CAROLINA

CLEMSON PASSING GAME VS SOUTH CAROLINA SECONDARY AND PASS RUSH
As good as everyone in the country makes the South Carolina defensive line out to be, they have only played TWO true passing teams - Georgia and Arkansas and both teams threw for 248 yards and 299 yards, respectively. With the return of left tackle Phillip Price, the Clemson offensive line should be well-equipped to handle the pass rush coming from the Gamecocks defensive line. Melvin Ingram and Jadeveon Clowney have accounted for 11 of South Carolina’s 20 sacks this season.

To keep that in perspective, Clemson’s defensive line that has been heavily criticized also has 20 sacks on the year. Tajh Boyd is the key to the passing game. The last three games, he has tried to force throws into tight windows, throwing into double and triple coverage when there are other wide open guys with lots of room to run. Boyd cannot continue to key in on one or two players and remember his checkdown receivers.

Freshman phenom Sammy Watkins also returns to the lineup and his ability to stretch the field, will cause the South Carolina secondary to double-team him, leaving another Tiger receiver open. ADVANTAGE- SLIGHT CLEMSON

CLEMSON RUSHING ATTACK VS SOUTH CAROLINA DEFENSIVE FRONT SEVEN
Clemson’s running game has struggled as of late averaging less than 100 yards per game. The last great game the Tigers had on the ground was against Maryland when Andre Ellington rushed for over 200 yards. Since then, they have been largely ineffective although one game was without starter Andre Ellington. Ellington has rushed for 871 yards and nine touchdowns.

The problem has been a lack of execution and fumbles by backups Mike Bellamy and D.J. Howard. The South Carolina defensive front has allowed just over 141 yards per game on the ground this season and only three teams have run for over 200 yards- two of which are option teams. ADVANTAGE- SLIGHT SOUTH CAROLINA

SPECIAL TEAMS
The Clemson special teams has been less than spectacular the last two weeks giving up two long punt returns and one for a touchdown. Punter Dawson Zimmerman is averaging 42.6 yards per punt. Kicker Chandler Catanzaro is 17-for-22 on the season including a huge game-winning field goal to clinch the ACC Atlantic against Wake Forest.

As for the Gamecocks, even the Ol’ Ball Coach calls the South Carolina special teams, “embarrassing.” Punter Joey Scribner-Howard is averaging 39.2 yards on 44 punts. Kicker Jay Wooten is only 5-of-8 on field goals. The Gamecocks are giving up over 21 yards per kickoff return and if Sammy Watkins is back returning kicks, don’t expect Spurrier to give his Gamecocks the go-ahead to kick to the explosive returner. ADVANTAGE- SLIGHT CLEMSON

BOTTOM LINE
South Carolina holds momentum in the series over the last two seasons winning in blowout fashion both times. Logic and national pundits say the Tigers don’t have a chance against a stingy Gamecock defense. You can throw out all of the season statistics, all of the wins and losses, and everything associated with what has happened in the previous 11 games. This is Clemson vs South Carolina. This is the Palmetto State Showdown. This is for bragging rights.

Forget what the national media and what Las Vegas (USC is a four point favorite) predicts, it’s time for the Tigers to collect the rent on what they have owned with a record of 65-39-4.

FINAL SCORE: CLEMSON 24, USC 10

Post written by Clemson Girl sports blogger, Nikki Steele.

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